Frequency of compound hot–dry weather extremes has significantly increased in Australia since 1889

نویسندگان

چکیده

There is high confidence that climate change has increased the probability of concurrent temperature-precipitation extremes, changed their spatial-temporal variations and affected relationships between drivers such natural hazards. However, extent changes been less investigated in Australia. Daily data spanning period 1889-2019 (131 years) were extracted from SILO gridded dataset at 700 grid cells (1◦ × 1◦) across Australia to calculate annual seasonal mean daily maximum temperature (MMT) total precipitation (TPR). A nonparametric multivariate copula framework was adopted estimate return compound hot-dry (CHD) events based on an ‘And’ hazard scenario (hotter than a threshold drier threshold). CHD extremes defined as years with joint periods longer 25 calculated over 1889-2019. Mann-Kendall tests used analyse trends MMT TPR well frequency univariate extremes. Results showed general cooling-wetting trend 1889-1989. Significant increasing detected 1990-2019 severity hot country while dry mostly insignificant (and decreasing). significant increase association identified various temporal scales. While stable 1889-1989, it significantly 1990 2019 44% studied cells, located north, south-east southwest.

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Changing Coastal Weather and Extremes

Hardly any area in the whole world is undergoing such dynamical environmental and social change as the coastal regions of the world. Approximately 20% of the world’s human population live within 30 km of the sea, and nearly double that number live within the nearest 100 km of the coast (IPCC 2001). Furthermore, a big part of economic activities is going on in these areas. In the coastal environ...

متن کامل

Has the Amount of Carbon Dioxide in the Atmosphere Changed Significantly since the Beginning

The search for causes of the rising temperatures in some geographic areas during the twentieth century has directed interest toward the amount of atmospheric carbon dioxide (GOa). If the carbon dioxide added by the combustion of fossil fuels remains as a net increase, any temperature-changing effects of its presence as a minor constituent of the atmosphere should be cumulatively operative as th...

متن کامل

U.S. weather extremes and El Niño

40 A global coupled climate model representative of the current generation of models is 41 shown to simulate most first order aspects of El Niño events, their teleconnections over 42 North America, and the associated observed patterns of extremes in present-day climate. 43 Future El Niño teleconnection patterns over the U.S. are projected to shift eastward and 44 northward due in part to the di...

متن کامل

Prevalence of thyroid cancer found in autopsy studies has not increased since 1970

BACKGROUND Thyroid cancer is the most common endocrine cancer. Unlike most other cancers, the incidence of thyroid cancer has reportedly been rising and it is the fastest rising cancer diagnosed in women in the last few years. However, it is unknown whether this increased incidence can be explained by better detection techniques or represents a true increase in the cancer across the world. Prio...

متن کامل

Soil Moisture as an Indicator of Weather Extremes

[1] In this paper, we investigate floods and droughts in the Upper Mississippi basin over a 50-year period (1950–1999) using a hydrological model (Variable Infiltration Capacity Model – 3 Layer). Simulations have been carried out between January 1950 and December 1999 at daily timestep and 1/8 spatial resolution for the water budget and at hourly time-step and 1 spatial resolution for the energ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Agronomy and Crop Science

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1439-037X', '0931-2250']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/jac.12545